Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 4.166404 4.539882 4.952294 5.445584 6.025149 6.691684 7.527090
2025-11-30 3.638943 4.121784 4.691832 5.428124 6.375547 7.586874 9.313795
2025-12-07 3.240112 3.751044 4.377947 5.226097 6.382508 7.971275 10.461876
2025-12-14 2.935860 3.450448 4.099103 5.006525 6.298492 8.176273 11.362317
2025-12-21 2.774303 3.308996 4.001225 5.003005 6.495406 8.801806 13.090851
2025-12-28 2.627572 3.171233 3.890454 4.960952 6.618573 9.323906 14.810902
2026-01-04 2.455863 2.986531 3.698440 4.777800 6.493134 9.400682 15.684480
2026-01-11 2.359467 2.896182 3.628776 4.765605 6.633582 9.962658 17.824784
2026-01-18 2.310561 2.866607 3.640925 4.875796 6.988278 10.997619 21.670318
2026-01-25 2.449969 3.108588 4.065710 5.686731 8.729420 15.480517 40.959522
2026-02-01 2.296710 2.919705 3.828389 5.375550 8.304295 14.901588 40.784722
2026-02-08 2.181675 2.781835 3.662302 5.174080 8.074853 14.771268 42.812674
2026-02-15 2.118698 2.727163 3.636271 5.239679 8.454862 16.517320 59.649981
2026-02-22 2.041091 2.647320 3.566616 5.224319 8.675102 17.994208 82.790919
2026-03-01 1.935627 2.519333 3.410568 5.034420 8.475604 18.116431 96.018790
2026-03-08 1.835659 2.394984 3.253046 4.827759 8.206879 17.926551 106.346806
2026-03-15 1.783477 2.341011 3.206588 4.824443 8.410212 19.475089 165.931945
2026-03-22 1.728675 2.280149 3.144623 4.784822 8.519668 20.774772 271.463345
2026-03-29 1.653621 2.184652 3.019741 4.612115 8.271221 20.536292 323.406467
2026-04-05 1.612363 2.140293 2.978411 4.600606 8.432520 22.160260 795.132186
2026-04-12 1.593561 2.130213 2.994244 4.704552 8.919887 25.755927 NaN
2026-04-19 1.675037 2.284217 3.305588 5.466880 11.558245 48.195500 NaN
2026-04-26 1.597009 2.174777 3.140716 5.174895 10.850414 43.805610 NaN